Earth changes update for 2015 and into 2016

During the first twenty days of April, there were eighteen earthquakes of magnitude 6.0 or greater, and a deadly flood almost every day.


Some people think that earthquakes measuring 6.0 are no big deal, but residents of Taiwan might disagree. A magnitude 6.4 earthquake in February killed 27, injured 500, and collapsed this 17-story apartment building:


Southern Japan had over 600 earthquakes, a volcanic eruption, and several landslides in just five days:


     6.4 quake strikes southwest Japan (photos, videos)

     Second large earthquake hits Japan measuring 5.9 in magnitude as rescuers battle to free people trapped in rubble

     Japan earthquake update:Tens of thousands flee in fear of aftershocks and volcanoes


     New powerful 7.1 magnitude earthquake strikes near Japan’s Kumamoto, tsunami warnings issued


I don’t know that anyone has yet figured this one out:

     Japanese city of Fukuoka, covered in mysterious foam after earthquake (VIDEOS)

     Update: 32 killed, 70,000 evacuated as Japan hit by 2 powerful earthquakes & devastating landslides (photos & videos)

Ecuador had the largest earthquake during this period:

     7.8 Magnitude earthquake hits Ecuador

     Ecuador quake deaths pass 500 with hundreds still missing


     Magnitude-6.1 aftershock hits Ecuador following deadly earthquake

The Pacific island Vanuatu has been hit five times by magnitude 6.0 or greater quakes in the last several days:

     7.2 magnitude quake strikes off Vanuatu islands

     Magnitude 6.9 earthquake strikes northwest of Vanuatu

     Magnitude 6.7 earthquake strikes Vanuatu; THIRD large quake in region this week

     6.0 earthquake strikes off Vanuatu coast; 4th quake in a week

     Magnitude 6.5 earthquake strikes off Vanuatu Islands; FIFTH + 6.0 quake in recent days

And deadly quakes have struck around the globe:

     Myanmar earthquake: Two killed, 70 injured in Assam

     Magnitude 6.6 earthquake strikes Afghanistan: Strong tremors felt in India and Pakistan capitals

     Magnitude 6 earthquake shakes Zamboanga, Philippines

     Strong 6.2 magnitude earthquake shakes Alaska, no tsunami warning

     6.2 magnitude earthquake strikes off coast of Guatemala

     Barbados rocked by magnitude 6.9 earthquake


In the 20th Century, there were 35 volcanic eruptions on average over the entire year; this year, there are 38 volcanoes in an active state of eruption right now! This is non-trivial. Mitch Battros posted this today:

     BREAKING NEWS: Volcanoes Responsible for Climate Change Through Much of Earth’s History

A new study in the April 22 edition of the journal ‘Science’, reveals that volcanic activity associated with the plate-tectonic movement of continents may be responsible for climatic shifts from hot to cold throughout much of Earth’s history. The study, led by researchers at The University of Texas at Austin Jackson School of Geosciences, addresses why Earth has fluctuated from periods when the planet was covered in ice to times when polar regions were ice-free…

…cooling periods tended to correlate with the assembly of Earth’s supercontinents, which was a time of diminished continental volcanism, Horton said. The warming periods correlated with continental breakup, a time of enhanced continental volcanism.

So enhanced volcanism leads not only to the melting of the icecaps and thus strongly rising sea levels–sea levels would rise over 200 feet if the icecaps melted–it is also “correlated with continental breakup. In such a situation, one would expect a big increase in earthquakes, which is occurring, as demonstrated above.

     Mexico’s Popocatépetl volcano erupts sending ash almost two miles into the sky

     Are we paying attention? 3 volcanoes erupt simultaneously on April 16, 2016: Villarrica (Chile), Mt. Cleveland (USA), Colima (Mexico)

     Yellowstone Volcano: “Whole lot a shakin’ goin’ on”


This April period has had a deadly flood somewhere in the world nearly every day. This record storm is expected to dissipate in the next couple of days:

     Cyclone Fantala: Indian Ocean’s most powerful storm on record


     28 people killed by floods in Ethiopia

     24 killed as torrential rains wreak havoc in northern Pakistan

     Update: Rains, landslides and floods kill over 200 in northern Pakistan


     Floods in Malawi leave at least 12 dead and force thousands to evacuate

     Malawi declares ‘State of Emergency’ as flooding kills dozens

     23 killed by flooding in Afghanistan


     Flooding hits Nairobi, Kenya after 96mm of rain in 6 hours

     Flooding displaces thousands after 4 days of heavy rainfall in Argentina and Uruguay

     Severe weather leaves 7 dead and over 3,000 displaced in Uruguay

     Tornado kills 4, injures hundreds in southwestern Uruguay

This was the first deadly tornado in Uruguay in 30 years…

More than 200 people suffered injuries and about 400 structures have been affected, said Uruguayan Sen. Guillermo Besozzi. Images from the city showed overturned cars piled on top of one other, shattered windows and decimated buildings…The National Institute of Meteorology has yet to determine the scale of the tornado. “There are businesses in the center of the city, completely destroyed. Schools, churches destroyed. This is something never seen before. This is something out of the normal for our country,” Besozzi said.


     Heavy rains and flooding kill 18 people, with 900 rescued from cars in Saudi Arabia

     Cars swept away as Arabian peninsula is slammed with deluges of rain and hail

     Devastating mudflow sweeps cars away and destroys shops in Jizan, Saudi Arabia

     Several killed as heavy floods hit Iran

     Flash floods kill 2 during rain storm in Oman

     Four killed as torrential rain, hailstorms lash southern China; hailstones the size of eggs hit Hunan

     Floods hit Santiago, Chile; water service to millions cut


     Houston flooding: 7 dead, 1,200 rescued — and more rain to come

     3,500 evacuated following widespread flooding in Fiji

     Record breaking rain causes flash floods in Las Vegas, over a hundred road crashes


Sinkholes are becoming so commonplace that they have been draining small lakes and ponds, and now they have drained three rivers in Mexico. The photo below shows the before-and-after of the Atoyac River:

     New sinkholes drain 2 more rivers in Mexico

     Segments of Atoyac River in Mexico disappear overnight after giant crack opens



I found nine headlines about deadly lightning strikes in April such as:

     Update: 30 killed by lightning strikes within 10 days in Bangladesh


If you find yourself in a hailstorm, take cover! These things are getting increasingly nasty:

     Hailstones the size of BASEBALLS pound Texas, smashing windows, cars and buildings



     Baseball-size hail slams Texas for second consecutive day


     4 inch hailstones damage 1,000 houses in Vietnam

     Freak hailstorm drops several inches of ice on Darjeeling, India

     Freak hailstorm strikes Saudi Arabia

Thundering Heard

Does this give you an idea of why this site is called Thundering Heard? Each heading in this post could have been shown as “Thundering Heard: Earthquakes” or “Thundering Heard: Volcanoes,” but that would have been annoying. Still, the idea is always there. There is thundering heard on the horizon across much of the energetic spectrum. Beyond earth changes, think about national politics, geopolitics, the state of the oceans, the financial system, health care, the legal system, the oil business, education, and so forth. All systems seem to be experiencing convulsions; many are being shaken to their core. We are now all accustomed to hearing words like deflation, decline, destruction, failure, and collapse in a variety of contexts.

This site tries to remind of some of these thunderings as food for thought.

As Lao Tsu said:

Trouble is easily overcome before it starts.

Part 2 will cover major developments and earth change statistics for 2015.


Earth Changes Update, End of 2014 – Part 2

Before embarking on the discussion of the unusual happenings in the animal kingdom promised in Part 1, I’d like to cite a quote that demonstrates the nature and impact of exponential change. The quote comes from a remarkable article from Reuters:

      Special Report: In Jakarta, that sinking feeling is all too real

about major world cities combating the combination of rising seas and sinking landmass due to subsidence from draining the groundwater under each city:

Higher seas, sinking cities and more people mean worsening impacts from storms and floods. And the frequency of these events is increasing, too. Recorded floods and severe storms in Southeast Asia have risen sixfold, from fewer than 20 from 1960 to 1969 to nearly 120 from 2000 to 2008, according to an Asian Development Bank study.

So a sixfold increase in severe storms in SE Asia: Take a guess what annual percent increase in storms accounted for that sixfold change. The answer is 6%. Six percent per year doesn’t sound like much. But when it’s applied relentlessly–and that is the nature of an exponential increase–the change seems small at first, but at some point, the change can be overwhelming. Food for thought regarding the many exponential chart patterns shown over time at Thundering Heard. We are living in unprecedented times on many fronts.

     *     *     *

The point about pervasive permeability in Part 1 (accidental alliteration!) sparked some interest. Here’s a perfect example of increasing permeability, in this case in the Greenland ice sheet from

     Two lakes beneath the ice in Greenland, gone within weeks

As everyone knows, that ice sheet stores enough ice to raise the global sea level about 7 meters (24 feet).  As it gets more permeable, it becomes less stable. As I said, food for thought.

     *     *     *

The animal kingdom*

Especially during the last year, the animal kingdom has shown signs of extreme duress.

First, there are many stories of pets attacking, and sometimes killing, their owners:

If you would like to dismiss this as anecdotal, of course you can, but it would fly in the face of statistical evidence, from around the globe:

Here’s a quote from the India link just above:

In 2012, nearly 10,100 people were affected by dog bites from April to December. Number went up to 16,000 in 2013.

Sometimes the dogs are even attacking…CARS:

     Animal crackers: As well as terrorising people in Modesto, crazy dogs are now attacking stationary cars


Damage done by an animal is seen Tuesday on a Ford Focus at Heritage Ford in Modesto. The car had some damage done to it by an animal. Three vehicles at the dealership have scratches and bite marks on them. The front grille of the Focus was torn completely off.

     Modesto, California: Vicious dogs roaming streets, chasing people and trapping them inside homes

Deer are known for trying to avoid people and buildings. Not these:

Elephants are running amok:

Then there are the many cases of fish that normally live deep in the oceans appearing at shorelines, sometimes thousands of miles from their usual area of habitation:

There are stories of birds so far from their usual turf that they sometimes end up on the wrong continent:

Whales are beaching and dying just about every day now:

And things are increasingly bad for sea turtles:

Fish die-offs have become quite common:

I have a lot more links for animals attacking humans (especially coyotes, jackals, wild dogs, and wild boars, but also including owls, foxes, and otters), but I’ll spare you having to scroll past them, and pass to another category: regional animal die-offs across many species.

Michael Snyder posted an excellent example:

     North America: Massive numbers of sea creatures dying along the west coast

in which he listed reports of devastations of West Coast starfish (A marine epidemiologist at Cornell University says that this is “the largest mortality event for marine diseases we’ve seen“); bluefin tuna (only 4% are left); sardine, anchovy, herring, and oyster populations; and major difficulties for many marine birds including pelicans. And more:

     West Coast devastation continues: seals, oysters, pelicans, fish, squid — all sick, dying or failing to breed

     Study: Dead sea creatures cover 98 percent of ocean floor off California coast; up from 1 percent before Fukushima

At an ocean research station known as Station M, located 145 miles out to sea between the Californian cities of Santa Barbara and Monterey, Huffard and her colleague Ken Smith observed a sharp uptick in the amount of dead sea life drifting to the ocean floor. The masses of dead sea plankton, jellyfish, feces and other oceanic matter that typically only cover about 1 percent of the ocean floor were found to now be covering about 98 percent of it — and multiple other stations located throughout the Pacific have since reported similar figures.

“In March 2012, less than one percent of the seafloor beneath Station M was covered in dead sea salps,” writes Carrie Arnold for National Geographic. “By July 1, more than 98 percent of it was covered in the decomposing organisms. … The major increase in activity of deep-sea life in 2011 and 2012 weren’t limit to Station M, though: Other ocean-research stations reported similar data.”

Anyone who still thinks the ongoing effects from Fukushima are trivial really needs to consider the meaning of that 98 to 1 ratio reported in the study at the preceding quote and link. Truly, what do people expect when this August 2014 article Japan Prepares To Release Thousands Of Tons Of Fukushima Groundwater Into The Pacific quotes NHK, Japan’s national public broadcasting organization, as saying:

Highly radioactive water at the plant is seeping into the earth and mixing with ground water. Experts estimate around 200 tons of contaminated ground water are leaking into the ocean each day.

Each day!

Then there are the global problems:

     More mass animal deaths occurring now than ever before, study claims

Mass die-offs of certain animals has increased in frequency every year for seven decades, according to a new study.

Researchers found that such events, which can kill more than 90 per cent of a population, are increasing among birds, fish and marine invertebrates.

     Silent Spring: Songbirds are disappearing across the planet reveals new documentary film

     Report: Lions, Tigers, Cheetahs Could Be Extinct In 10 Years

     Otters across the world are threatened with extinction says new report

And this link points to a study that lists 794 species that are on the brink of extinction:

     Study pinpoints species facing extinction threat

So, what are the reasons for this dreadful state of affairs. There are several, to be sure.

In the case of the whales (and perhaps the other creatures that normally inhabit the ocean depths and who can now be found at the beaches), one major cause is certain: the use of powerful sonar technologies by the militaries to hunt for submarines and the oil and gas companies to hunt for that stuff we pump into our cars. This link:

     The epic fight to protect cetaceans from the US Navy

has a sad but amazing story of how proof of this was accepted by the US Navy itself. A retired navy guy with an interest in whales–the guy actually worked in the navy’s secret sonar program–witnessed the beaching of 17 beaked whales immediately following US Navy exercises in his area. This is the deepest diving whale species of them all. For them to beach as a group was unprecedented. Suspecting the cause, the guy immediately had their heads sent to a lab for autopsy and it was found that the ear drums of each whale had been shattered. The guy had to get this info onto the 60 Minutes television program before the navy would respond, but finally, respond they did, strongly limiting their own sonar use during exercises. And this link:

      Whale Mass Stranding Attributed to Sonar Mapping For First Time

describes how the mass stranding of 100 whales was connected with exploration by ExxonMobil.

So, is there relief for the whales and other deep-sea creatures? Given the near-daily whale beachings listed above, probably not much. In July, the purportedly liberal White House approved the use of such technologies in Federal waters off the US East Coast:

The Obama administration has sided with energy developers over environmentalists, approving the use of underwater blasts of sound to pinpoint oil and gas deposits in federal Atlantic Ocean waters.

And how could we forget this as an indicator of what’s plaguing sea creatures:

     Fourth Anniversary of Gulf Oil Spill: Wildlife Is Still Suffering from Toxic Cover Up

Perhaps the deflationary wave that has been sent to the world economy–the price of oil, at $45.29 per barrel today, has now been cut by 58% since June, natural gas prices have also been crashing (again), and interest rates are now negative in several countries–will provide the kindness of some relief for the creatures of the ocean deep, kindness that humanity has been unwilling to provide.

Another monster problem for sea creatures and ocean birds is tens of thousands of tons of plastic:

One highly-recommended article that really gets the point across about the state of the oceans, especially the Pacific, is this one by an Australian yachtsman, which should be a must-read for everyone:

     The ocean is broken

What was missing was the cries of the seabirds which, on all previous similar voyages, had surrounded the boat.

The birds were missing because the fish were missing.

Exactly 10 years before, when Newcastle yachtsman Ivan Macfadyen had sailed exactly the same course from Melbourne to Osaka, all he’d had to do to catch a fish from the ocean between Brisbane and Japan was throw out a baited line.

“There was not one of the 28 days on that portion of the trip when we didn’t catch a good-sized fish to cook up and eat with some rice,” Macfadyen recalled.

But this time, on that whole long leg of sea journey, the total catch was two.

No fish. No birds. Hardly a sign of life at all…

If that sounds depressing, it only got worse.

The next leg of the long voyage was from Osaka to San Francisco and for most of that trip the desolation was tinged with nauseous horror and a degree of fear.

“After we left Japan, it felt as if the ocean itself was dead,” Macfadyen said.

“We hardly saw any living things. We saw one whale, sort of rolling helplessly on the surface with what looked like a big tumour on its head. It was pretty sickening.

“I’ve done a lot of miles on the ocean in my life and I’m used to seeing turtles, dolphins, sharks and big flurries of feeding birds. But this time, for 3000 nautical miles there was nothing alive to be seen.”

In place of the missing life was garbage in astounding volumes.

“Part of it was the aftermath of the tsunami that hit Japan a couple of years ago. The wave came in over the land, picked up an unbelievable load of stuff and carried it out to sea. And it’s still out there, everywhere you look.”

This lack of ocean fish is killing the ocean-migrating birds because there is nothing for them to eat:

     Up to 5 million seabirds likely to have died on Australian and New Zealand beaches

The industrial overfishing, the chemical pollution, the radiation, the acidification, the garbage…We truly are trying to “break” the oceans.

When that Malaysian airliner went missing, garbage hampered the search:

     Malaysia plane: Confronting searchers is an ocean full of garbage

Since the older generations can’t see a way to fix this, maybe younger people can start the process:

     19-Year-Old Develops Cleanup Array To Remove 7,250,000 Tons Of Plastic From Oceans

As far as those rampaging elephants are concerned, can you blame them?

These are animals who walk miles to attend to the death of another elephant or the death of a person who was a friend to them:

     Wild Elephants gather inexplicably, mourn death of “Elephant Whisperer” 

Author and legendary conservationist Lawrence Anthony died March 2. His family spoke of a solemn procession of Elephants that defies human explanation…

For 12 hours, two herds of wild South African elephants slowly made their way through the Zululand bush until they reached the house of late author Lawrence Anthony, the conservationist who saved their lives. The formerly violent, rogue elephants, destined to be shot a few years ago as pests, were rescued and rehabilitated by Anthony…

For two days the herds loitered at Anthony’s rural compound on the vast Thula Thula game reserve in the South African KwaZulu – to say good-bye to the man they loved. But how did they know he had died?…

There are two elephant herds at Thula Thula. According to his son Dylan, both arrived at the Anthony family compound shortly after Anthony’s death. “They had not visited the house for a year and a half and it must have taken them about 12 hours to make the journey,” Dylan is quoted in various local news accounts. “The first herd arrived on Sunday and the second herd, a day later. They all hung around for about two days before making their way back into the bush.”

If humans were more rational, perhaps we would be trying to understand elephants’ telepathy and empathy rather than killing them for their tusks.

And then there are the poisons we spray, and the systemic poisons created by design in GMO crops:

     Neurotoxic pesticides linked to honeybee decline are affecting other species, scientists say after four-year assessment

Neurotoxic pesticides blamed for the decline of honeybees is also harming butterflies, worms, fish, and birds, and contaminating habitats worldwide which are crucial for food production and wildlife, scientists have concluded after a four-year assessment.

So we’re not just poisoning ourselves–and the bees and pollinators who are crucial to one third of humanity’s food supply–with toxic chemicals:


we’re poisoning lots of species.

And what about the migratory animals, both birds and sea creatures, who are losing their way?

     Birds are losing all sense of direction

It turns out that some migratory birds are stymied when they encounter the edges of a city, industrial area, or campus. The electromagnetic emanations from these places disturb the workings of these birds’ navigation systems. Given that experiments have shown that the emanations from wifi routers can kill plants, I guess it isn’t surprising that our electromagnetics are disturbing animals. And probably us as well.

And how can I fail to mention how we treat animals raised for food, putting them in cramped industrial settings and cages prior to their slaughter. Were it not for strong doses of antibiotics–which end up on our plates–most of these animals would die of disease.

Is the growing 2014 trend of animal attacks on people an indication that they have started to fight back? We better hope not. If the animal kingdom ever decided to fight with us, we’d likely all be dead within months. Without the ceaseless cleanup of our environment by insects, worms, algae, bacteria, fungi, etc., we would find ourselves living in waste. As it is, these beings constantly process billions of tons of materials into forms useful for us. And we often pay them back by trying to exterminate them, interested in the endless “growth, growth, growth” chant of our so-called leaders who definitely have no understanding of the exponential function.

Everyone has heard of the “lost animal syndrome” where there is a notable increase in pets getting lost before earthquakes. Are the animal agitations and disorientations a reaction to current Earth changes, or to an impending mega-Earth change. If it’s the latter, one might shudder to think what that would be.

Are the animals who normally remain deep in the oceans reacting to increases in methane and volcanic materials coming from the ocean floor? Perhaps.

Are the animal attacks a reaction to the changing energies of our evolving world? Are they reacting to the rapid decrease in Earth’s magnetic field, described here:

…based on the latest readings from the European Space Agency’s (ESA) satellite array called Swarm:

          Earth’s Magnetic Field Is Weakening 10 Times Faster Now

Once every few hundred thousand years the magnetic poles flip so that a compass would point south instead of north. While changes in magnetic field strength are part of this normal flipping cycle, data from Swarm have shown the field is starting to weaken faster than in the past. Previously, researchers estimated the field was weakening about 5 percent per century, but the new data revealed the field is actually weakening at 5 percent per decade, or 10 times faster than thought. As such, rather than the full flip occurring in about 2,000 years, as was predicted, the new data suggest it could happen sooner…

(Wow, 5% per decade. An exponential progression to be reckoned with.)

Or are the animal attacks on humans simply the animals reflecting our own emotional and mental states?

It seems clear that the assault, often clearly our assault, on the animal kingdom, and the plant kingdom, is unwise. Some Churchianity people quote Genesis about man being given “dominion” over the animals and plants. For some, this somehow justifies pillage and plunder versus the stewardship that, logically, must have been the intended meaning of the statement. Undoubtedly, dominion can’t mean the creation of a wasteland. But that is what we are doing in many domains. Here’s an excellent indicator of the bad news (I promise to follow it with some good news!):

     Photographic Adventure Reveals the Frightening Deadness of Genetically Engineered Corn Field

By Dr. Mercola

A recent NPR article highlights the truly frightening environmental effect of monoculture. NPR commentator and science writer Craig Childs decided to replicate a photo project by David Liittschwager, a portrait photographer who spent years traveling the world dropping one-cubic-foot metal frames into gardens, streams, parks, forests, and oceans, photographing anything and everything that entered the frame.

Around the world, his camera captured thousands of plants, animals, and insects within the cubes, with entirely different “worlds” of plants and animals living as little as a few feet away from each other.

Childs recruited a friend, and together they set out to replicate Littschwager’s “critter census” in a corn field in Grundy County, Iowa.

But whereas Littschwager’s camera captured several dozens of insects wherever he set up his frames, Childs and friend found nothing stirring among the genetically engineered corn stalks on the 600 acre farm in Iowa, where they spent an entire weekend crawling around on the ground. No signs of life with the exception of an isolated spider, a single red mite, and a couple grasshoppers.

“It felt like another planet entirely,” Childs said. “I listened and heard nothing, no birds, no clicks from insects. There were no bees. The air, the ground, seemed vacant. Yet, 100 years ago, these same fields, these prairies, were home to 300 species of plants, 60 mammals, 300 birds, hundreds and hundreds of insects,” Robert Krulwich writes2. “This soil was the richest, the loamiest in the state. And now, in these patches, there is almost literally nothing but one kind of living thing. We’ve erased everything else.”

The good news, the very good news, is that more and more people (permaculturists, organic growers, channelers of information from the devic realm in places like Findhorn and Perelandra, occultists, etc.) are realizing that nature provides a physical and energetic abundance that is currently well beyond our comprehension and perception; that we should be working with the processes, energies, and intelligences that provide that abundance rather than working against them; and that our own evolution depends directly on our turning our interaction with the natural kingdoms from one of exploitation and devastation to one of great respect and harmony. In this exponential accelerating trend lies great hope for us all.

*     *     *

(*Note of credit and thanks: Many links in this article come from the amazing SOTT.NET Earth Changes tracking page. They make great videos summarizing each month’s earth changes; you can see them here. As stated elsewhere, I think they do a wonderful job of collecting information, but a poor job of theorizing about its causes. They say that there is so much global cooling that a new ice age has already started, that “Planet X” is on the way, etc. I think they are wrong about these things. However, they do seem to like G.I. Gurdjieff, so there is hope.)

Earth Changes Update, End of 2014 – Part 1

When I tell the truth, it is not for the sake of convincing those who do not know it, but for the sake of defending those that do.
–William Blake

NOAA, NASA, the Japanese, and the World Meteorological Org. all say 2014 is the hottest year in the modern record.

From NOAA Global Analysis – Annual 2014 :

The year 2014 was the warmest year across global land and ocean surfaces since records began in 1880….To date, including 2014, 9 of the 10 warmest years on record have occurred during the 21st century. 1998 currently ranks as the fourth warmest year on record.


Six individual months ranked as the warmest for that month in the modern record:

Six months of 2014 (May, June, August, September, October, and December) were record warm, while April was second warmest, January, March, and July were fourth warmest for their respective months, and November was seventh warmest.

Bloomberg did an interesting, brief (20 seconds) animated display of the temperature record since 1880, at this link:

     2014 Was the Hottest Year on Record

And from Japan:

     2014 was the hottest year on record, Japanese scientists say


The global cooling people (they may have one good point, mentioned below) have a couple of things they’ll trot out. One is that 2014 was not the hottest year in the satellite temperature measurement data sets. The headline from the folks who keep the satellite data says this:

     2014 was third warmest, but barely

The article at the link, which only sometimes works, explains that they take measurements at different altitudes. In one data set, 2014 was the third warmest year; in another, 2014 was the sixth warmest year.

The other point is in this chart from NOAA:


This shows the separate trends for temperatures taken on land, ocean, and the two combined. 2014 is the hottest year in the combined data (the black line) and in the ocean data (the blue line). It is the fourth warmest in the land-only data (the gold line). Some global cooling people impugn the ocean temperature data, claiming that the thousands of ocean temperature buoys provide suspect data. Even if they turned out right about that, which seems very unlikely, the long-term trends are exceedingly clear on all of these charts.

Where the global cooling people may have a point is not about the warming trend being a fallacy, clearly they seem wrong about that, but about the cause of the warming. While I think humans do play a part in the warming, I think that part is small compared with natural cycles, especially those driven by the Sun, which people underestimate across the board: the Sun not only keeps our physical bodies alive, but also lights our inner life via its connection with each of us at the point of the pineal gland, in the center of the head. So the Sun has a very wide spectrum of influence. People have been amazed in recent years by repeated largest-storm-ever-recorded events, but these aren’t happening only on Earth, they’ve been noted on other planets as well. Check this from UC Berkeley:

     Amateur, professional astronomers alike thrilled by extreme storms on Uranus


“This type of activity would have been expected in 2007, when Uranus’s once-every-42-year equinox occurred and the sun shined directly on the equator,” noted co-investigator Heidi Hammel of the Association of Universities for Research in Astronomy. “But we predicted that such activity would have died down by now. Why we see these incredible storms now is beyond anybody’s guess.”

Sea levels

While the warming trend brings changes, I think those changes will be quite welcome in the long run. Unless, of course, the place you live has a lot of its infrastructure near sea level. Coastal cities the world over are hiring Dutch water engineers to plan how to keep the rising water out. Cities like Miami don’t like to talk about it (they worry about real estate values!), but they are spending hundreds of millions on new sea walls, as shown in this seven-minute video (h/t KR):

     Is Miami Beach drowning?

Those new sea walls won’t help a bit with storm drains that, instead of draining water away from city streets, now bring sea water to those streets at high tide. Most of these people make their plans using the UN’s IPCC estimates for sea level rise, stated in millimeters per year. I think such numbers will come to be seen as vastly underestimating the trend. As the video of Prof. Bartlett’s famous course on exponential growth shows so well, people have a tough time seeing the implications (and sometimes dangers) of something that grows by a fixed percent each year. Chris Martenson tries to summarize the exponential concept in a six-minute video and does a pretty good job of it:

     Crash Course Chapter 3: Exponential Growth

Storms and Floods

And the storms–on Earth, that is–just keep on coming. The increase in precipitation is likely great proof of the Earth’s warming trend as more water evaporates and becomes available for storms.

     Increases in extreme rainfall

Dr Westra … said trends in rainfall extremes were examined over the period from 1900 to 2009 to determine whether they were becoming more intense or occurring more frequently.
“The results show that rainfall extremes were increasing over this period, and appear to be linked to the increase in global temperature of nearly a degree which also took place over this time.
“If extreme rainfall events continue to intensify, we can expect to see floods occurring more frequently around the world.” Dr Westra said.

Here is a map showing the observed increases in very heavy precipitation events in the USA by region from 1958 to 2012:


(Map source.)

In last year’s Earth changes statistical update, a chart from the world’s largest re-insurance company, Munich Re, was used to show that the increase in storms and floods was not imagined by deranged bloggers but was being reported by the hard-nosed insurance industry. This year, they didn’t update the chart, but they did publish that the number of “loss events,” as the insurance world calls them, hit a new record of 980 events:

In total, 980 loss-related natural catastrophes were registered, a much higher number than the average of the last ten and 30 years (830 and 640).

If they had updated the chart, it would include a bar similar to the one I added in purple for 2014, with the 980 level shown by the purple arrow:

MunichReWeatherAndEarthChanges2014BarAdClearly, the trend of natural catastrophes, especially storms and floods, is still on the rise. Munich Re noted that there were fewer deaths than previous years and–while noting that the death toll was lowered by the lack of a mega-catastrophes like the Japan earthquake/tsunami of 2011–applauded countries for their use of improved early warning systems. It sounds like both nations and individuals are wisely beginning to gain respect for the power of these events. Let’s hope that this is a general trend that leads to more and more people moving away from areas prone to flooding, typhoons, earthquakes, and tsunamis. An appropriate regard for these accelerating trends can save individuals and humanity a great deal of anguish.

Unusual and massive flooding has become, well, usual, even epidemic. Here are some just from the last month, compiled by SOTT.NET:

     Catastrophic flooding continues in southern Africa, considered one of worst disasters in years

     Flooding hits Zimbabwe, Malawi and Mozambique

     South Australia prepares for flooding: 15 times their monthly rainfall

     Flooding, landslides and power outages hit Washington state

     Uruguay suffers severe flooding with much of Montevideo under water

     31 dead, 7 missing after Tropical Storm Jangmi triggers floods, landslides in Philippines

     Malaysian national park receives heaviest rainfall in more than 40 years

     Flash floods in Sri Lanka displace 46,000

     4 dead and 14,000 evacuated after flooding on the Thailand – Malaysia border

     Extreme flooding in Sao Paulo, Brazil


With 156 magnitude 6.0 or greater earthquakes during 2014, the large-earthquake uptrend is more than intact. Here is my updated chart, using data from the USGS, with the arrow showing the clear trend:


Maybe you think that’s an anomaly, not enough data is shown? Here’s the same chart with an additional nine years of data, back to 1973:


The science community is starting to admit the trend:

     A global surge of great earthquakes from 2004-2014 and implications for Cascadia

The last ten years have been a remarkable time for great earthquakes. Since December 2004 there have been no less than 18 quakes of Mw8.0 or greater – a rate of more than twice that seen from 1900 to mid-2004.

In 2014, there were no mega-quakes like the magnitude 9+ quakes that caused the deadly tsunamis of 2004 in the Indian Ocean and 2011 in Japan, so there were no major tsunamis.

It’s becoming commonly accepted that fracking and its associated wastewater injection activity causes earthquakes. So far, at least, these have been smaller-size quakes:

     Hydraulic fracturing linked to earthquakes in Ohio

     Oil Wells Linked to Oklahoma’s Stunning Increase In Earthquakes

     Second Greeley, Colorado earthquake halts injection site work

     Wastewater disposal may trigger quakes at a greater distance than previously thought

If you don’t live near a fracking site, here’s a great “meet your new neighbors” photo:



At the start of 2015, these were the numbers for currently-active volcanoes, with their colors as shown on the maps below (the interactive version of the map is here):

Erupting (red)   44
Warning/minor activity (orange)   32
Unrest (yellow)   75
      TOTAL 151

Ring of Fire map:


Rest of the world:


Some say that the extraordinary amount of volcanic activity is contributing to weather wildness and a slowing of the Earth’s warming trend. The latter point would not be surprising given this chart from the Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature project showing that truly major volcanic eruptions temporarily slow the rising temperature trend:


(Chart Source)

The article at this link has a short video of Iceland’s Bardarbunga volcano which has been producing 50 to 70 cubic meters of lava per second since August, 2014.

And these are just the land-based volcanoes. No one knows how many undersea volcanoes are active, though some are starting to think they are active enough to be warming the oceans. Previously-underwater volcanoes have been creating new islands, one in Tonga (which has been erupting every five minutes for a month) and two in Japan.

      Tongan Volcano Creates New Island


     Dramatic Video Shows Volcano Making New Island Off Japan 


Methane is being released not just from the ocean floor in the Arctic:

     Arctic Ocean releasing large volumes of methane

but also all along the Atlantic Coast of the USA:

     Hundreds of Methane Plumes Erupting Along East Coast


In an unexpected discovery, hundreds of gas plumes bubbling up from the seafloor were spotted during a sweeping survey of the U.S. Atlantic Coast….Between North Carolina’s Cape Hatteras and Massachusetts’ Georges Bank, 570 methane seeps cluster in about eight regions, according to sonar and video gathered by the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration ship Okeanos Explorer between 2011 and 2013.


Sinkholes continue to proliferate. SOTT.NET is the only service I have seen tracking these numerically. Yes, many sinkholes can be explained by broken water mains and the like, but others have no known explanation. SOTT.NET shows this as the emerging trend:


What’s causing these trends?

There are several theories about the cause of these increasing Earth changes. In my view, the one that best encompasses the full array of changes is the one that says, summarized briefly: Earth and humanity are beginning their evolutionary passage from third dimension to fourth dimension reality and therefore everything, everything is becoming more permeable, from the Earth’s crust to the lies of our governments to the divisions between the planes of existence, enabling more people to increasingly access realms of life that have traditionally been hidden. In any case, it seems that two things are clear:

1. These trends are accelerating, not diminishing, and as such, they deserve people’s attention and respect. Prof. Bartlett is right, people don’t realize the power of exponential trends, even less so with accelerating trends. Living in places that these trends indicate as high risk areas reminds me of a phrase in the financial markets for remaining in trades to the very last minute where the chance of gain is small and the risk of loss is huge: “picking up nickels in front of a steamroller.”

2. Whatever the cause or causes, there is clearly a pervasive energetic component to this planetary event. One demonstration of this is the great upset and upheaval taking place in the animal kingdom, which will be covered in Part 2.